![]() ![]() In recent months, many have expressed concern that China would take advantage of the West’s attention on the Russian invasion of Ukraine to move against Taiwan. While China has long professed that it wants peaceful “reunification” with Taiwan, it has also consistently warned that it could reclaim the island-about 100 miles from the mainland-by force if Taiwan makes irreversible moves toward independence. China has viewed Taiwan as a “breakaway province” since 1949, when the Nationalists escaped to the island after losing to the Communists on the mainland. Sponsored by NBC television’s “Meet the Press” public affairs show and summarized on the May 15 broadcast, the wargame posited a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in reaction to a new government in Taipei seeking to declare permanent independence from Beijing. The game highlighted the advances China has made and is making in military technology but also drove home the likelihood that logistics will be crucial in a defense of Taiwan, especially against an opponent in close physical proximity to the action. In a 2027 invasion of Taiwan by China, neither side achieves air superiority, both sides take heavy losses, and China finds little hope for a fait accompli, according to a recent wargame run by the Center for a New American Security.
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